NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Monday, Mar. 13): Unlimited Value in Pacers-Pistons

Monday encompasses a seven-game slate beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Let’s dive into among the prime performs on the slate utilizing the FantasyLabs instruments and metrics.

Also, don’t overlook that for large-field tournaments, you possibly can make the most of our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create as much as 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder in case you prefer to hand-build your lineups.

Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings might change all through the day after this text is posted. The NBA DFS panorama adjustments rapidly. 

Consult the NBA Player Models immediately for any updates as we get nearer to lock.

Use our PrizePicks promo code LABS for a $100 sign-up bonus on NBA participant choose’ems.

NBA DFS Point Guard Picks


Trae Young has performed a few of his finest basketball of the season lately. He’s scored at the very least 49.5 DraftKings factors in three straight video games, culminating with 60.25 DraftKings factors Saturday vs. the Celtics. He posted a 40.3% utilization price in that contest, and he completed with 35 factors and 13 assists. Overall, Young has elevated his manufacturing to 1.50 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, which is the highest mark amongst Monday’s backcourt choices.

Young’s matchup on Monday can also be a very good one. The Timberwolves rank sixth in tempo this season, and there are tons of factors anticipated on this contest. The whole presently sits at 245.0 factors, whereas the Hawks’ implied crew whole of 125.25 ranks first on the slate. Minnesota has additionally allowed the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to opposing level guards, so Young is in a fantastic spot to proceed his current sizzling streak.


Monday’s matchup between the Pistons and Pacers goes to function prominently on this article. Both groups are clearly targeted on the long run, which implies touchdown as many ping-pong balls as doable within the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes. The Pistons are presently in pole place in that race, whereas the Pacers are tied for the sixth-worst report in basketball with the Wizards and Blazers.

Both of those groups are going to be with out a number of key gamers on this matchup. On the Detroit aspect, Cade Cunningham, Bojan Bogdanovic, Hamidou Diallo, and Isaiah Stewart all stay out with long-term accidents, they usually’ll be joined on the sidelines by Jaden Ivey, Marvin Bagley, and Alec Burks. That doesn’t depart the crew with many viable choices, notably on the subject of facilitators.

Expect Killian Hayes to be extraordinarily busy at level guard. He was in an identical spot Saturday vs. the Pacers and responded with 17 factors, 13 assists, and 6 rebounds in 36.9 minutes. He racked up 49.0 DraftKings factors, and comparable manufacturing is feasible in Monday’s rematch. Hayes has averaged 1.06 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and that quantity may very well be considerably increased given all of the crew’s absences.

Our PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy simulations are additionally optimistic about Hayes’ fantasy prospects:

Fast Break

Kyrie Irving is presently questionable, however he can be an excellent stud goal on FanDuel if he’s in a position to swimsuit up. His $9,600 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 98%, and he leads the place with 12 Pro Trends. Luka Doncic additionally stays out for the Mavericks, so Irving may very well be requested to hold a bigger workload than common.

Derrick White has been a wonderful participant for the Celtics this season, and he’s racked up at the very least 35.5 FanDuel factors in back-to-back video games. He’s elevated his fantasy manufacturing to 0.96 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month, and he’s presently projected for just below 33 minutes in our NBA Models. He’s underpriced at $6,100 and usable in each backcourt spots.

NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks


Devin Booker has been priced as much as $10,100 on DraftKings, which is as costly as he’s been all season. Still, there’s a lot to love about Booker in Monday’s matchup vs. the Warriors. For starters, Golden State has performed on the quickest tempo within the league this season, they usually’ve been merely common on protection. The whole on this contest is ready at 236.0 factors, which is the third-highest mark on the slate.

Booker can also be going to have to hold a barely elevated workload on this matchup. The crew is with out Kevin Durant resulting from harm, they usually traded away Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson to safe him. Booker has elevated his utilization price by +3.6% with all three gamers off the ground this season, leading to a mean of 1.46 DraftKings factors per minute. That represents a big enhance from his common of 1.32 for the 12 months.


On the Indy aspect, the Pacers are going to be with out Tyrese Haliburton, Myles Turner, Bennedict Mathurin, and T.J. McConnell. Buddy Hield can also be questionable, so that they’re one other crew with tons of minutes and utilization out there.

Andrew Nembhard is somebody who has had some monster video games this season with Haliburton sidelined, and the absence of McConnell ought to solely assist. Nembhard has elevated his utilization price by +7.0% and his help price by +21.7% with each gamers off the ground this season, leading to a mean of 0.98 DraftKings factors per minute. He ought to see as many minutes as he can deal with on this spot towards a dreadful Pistons’ protection. They rank twenty eighth in defensive effectivity, and Nembhard has the potential to be the most effective worth on the whole slate.

Fast Break

If you’re searching for a pure punt at taking pictures guard, R.J. Hampton matches the invoice. He’s eligible at each guard spots on DraftKings, the place his $3,300 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 90%. Hampton has averaged 0.80 DraftKings factors per minute for the 12 months, and he’s projected for simply over 23 minutes in our NBA Models. Historically, gamers with comparable salaries and minute projections have averaged a Plus/Minus of +2.22 (per the Trends software).

If Irving is unable to swimsuit up, Tim Hardaway Jr. turns into an excellent worth choice at $5,800 on FanDuel. It leads to a Bargain Rating of 96%, and THJ has elevated his utilization price by a team-high +7.2% with Doncic, Irving, and Spencer Dinwiddie off the ground this season. He racked up 36.2 FanDuel factors over 36.4 minutes with Doncic and Irving sidelined on Saturday, and he’s scored at the very least 32.9 FanDuel factors in three straight video games.

NBA DFS Small Forward Picks


With all the worth out there in Pacers-Pistons, we’re going to have the ability to spend up for whoever we would like. Unfortunately, there aren’t a ton of “mega studs” to select from. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Irving are each questionable, leaving Jayson Tatum because the clear best choice.

Fortunately, Tatum is a reasonably darn good play. He’s seen an uptick in manufacturing over the previous month, growing his fantasy output to 1.49 DraftKings factors per minute. He’s additionally coming off an enormous efficiency in his final contest, racking up 67.25 DraftKings factors on 34 factors and 15 rebounds. The 15 boards was his second-highest mark of the 12 months, and he may proceed to be a bit extra energetic than common on the glass with Robert Williams sidelined.

Tatum additionally has loads of scoring potential vs. the Rockets. They rank twenty ninth in defensive effectivity for the 12 months, and the Celtics’ implied crew whole of 122.0 ranks third on the slate. There is a few blowout threat right here – the Celtics are favored by 12.5 factors on the street – however Tatum has wonderful upside if this recreation stays aggressive.


Chris Duarte burst onto the scene as a rookie in 2021-22, averaging 17.7 factors per recreation throughout his first seven skilled contests. Unfortunately, he has not been in a position to attain these heights since then. He’s been an afterthought for the Pacers when at full power this season, limiting him to a mean of simply 19.7 minutes per recreation.

However, Duarte moved into the crew’s beginning lineup of their final contest, and he racked up 32.8 minutes. He was dreadful as a scorer, taking pictures simply 2-11 from the sector and 1-6 from 3-point vary, however he has the prospect for a bounce-back efficiency on Monday. Duarte has averaged 0.77 DraftKings factors per minute this season, and he needs to be locked in for 30+ minutes vs. the Pistons.

Fast Break

I don’t blame you in case you’ve by no means heard of Eugene Omoruyi. He’s bounced across the league over the previous two years, and he’s performed simply 5 video games with the Pistons. That mentioned, he’s projected for 32 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s priced at simply $4,400 on FanDuel. Omoruyi has averaged a palatable 0.79 FanDuel factors per minute in his restricted taking part in time, so he’s value contemplating at $4,400.

Anthony Edwards shouldn’t garner a lot possession on this slate, which makes him an attention-grabbing pay-up choice in tournaments. He hasn’t been notably efficient of late, however he’s coming off 53.0 DraftKings factors in his final outing. He’ll take the courtroom in what is anticipated to be the highest-scoring matchup of the day, giving him a bit extra upside than common.

NBA DFS Power Forward Picks


If Giannis Antetokounmpo is ready to swimsuit up, you possibly can definitely think about using him towards the Kings. The Kings have been a fantasy goldmine for many of the 12 months, racking ninth within the league in tempo and twenty fifth in defensive effectivity. The Bucks’ implied crew whole of 123.25 ranks second on the slate, whereas the full on this contest sits at 244.5 factors.

Giannis may definitely be restricted if he returns to the lineup, however nobody on this slate can match him in per-minute productiveness. He’s averaged 1.76 DraftKings factors per minute for the 12 months, and nobody else is above 1.47. Giannis is projected for just below 32 minutes in our NBA Models, and that’s greater than sufficient to make him a risk for the highest fantasy efficiency of the day. That has loads of worth on a slate with a seemingly limitless variety of low-cost choices.


Isaiah Livers has been a non-factor for the Pistons for many of the 12 months, however he took on a main scoring position of their final contest. He led the crew with 37.7 minutes and 20 discipline purpose makes an attempt of their final contest, together with 10 3-pointers. His 39.5 DraftKings factors had been buoyed by 4 steals and two blocks, however he shot simply 7-20 from the sector. Some higher taking pictures numbers may assist offset a probable discount in these classes on Monday.

Ultimately, Livers is just too low-cost for his projected position in a robust matchup vs. the Pacers, who rank seventh in tempo and twenty sixth in defensive effectivity.

Fast Break

Al Horford will not be the identical participant that he was in his prime, however he’s nonetheless fairly dependable for fantasy functions. He’s been an excellent supply of worth lately, posting a mean Plus/Minus of +7.69 over his previous 10 video games, and he ought to proceed to see just a few further minutes with Williams sidelined. He’s underpriced at $5,600 in an exceptional matchup vs. the Rockets.

Xavier Tillman continues to face out as underpriced on FanDuel, the place his $6,000 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 80%. He’s elevated his manufacturing to 1.02 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month, and he’s locked into round half-hour on most nights because the crew’s final heart standing.

NBA DFS Center Picks


Deandre Ayton is the final word luxurious merchandise for the Suns. They very hardly ever want him to hold a big offensive workload, particularly now that they’ve added Durant to the combination.

That mentioned, Ayton is greater than able to racking up factors when given the chance. He’s coming off 22 factors and 44.0 DraftKings factors in his final contest, and he needs to be a bit busier than common with Durant sidelined. Ayton performed greater than 37 minutes within the crew’s final recreation, which represents a large enhance from his common of 30.4 for the 12 months.


Isaiah Jackson rounds out the Pacers-Pistons worth choices, and he’s among the best. He moved into the beginning lineup instead of Turner of their final recreation and responded with 43.75 DraftKings factors in 25.7 minutes. That’s not an outlier. Jackson has traditionally been among the best per-minute producers in fantasy, so he’s able to profiting from further taking part in time. He’s performed greater than 25 minutes in 10 profession video games, and he’s averaged 35.08 DraftKings factors in these contests. As lengthy as he stays within the beginning lineup, he’s very powerful to fade towards the identical crew he torched two nights in the past.

Fast Break

Jalen Smith is an attention-grabbing pivot off Jackson. He’s anticipated to hold far much less possession, however Smith is a superb fantasy producer in his personal proper. He’s averaged 1.23 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month, and he racked up 38.3 FanDuel factors Saturday vs. the Pistons. Playing each Pacers’ massive males collectively can also be very viable.

Rudy Gobert is questionable for the Timberwolves, but when he’s in a position to swimsuit up, he’s one other sturdy contrarian event choice at heart. Gobert has lastly settled in with the Timberwolves, averaging 1.32 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month. His manufacturing over that timeframe is what we got here to count on from Gobert with the Jazz, and the Hawks have been exploitable on the inside. They rank within the backside 5 in factors within the paint allowed per recreation and crew rebound price, so Gobert can do some harm on this spot.

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