NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Sunday, Mar. 12): Embiid the Beast

Sunday encompasses a four-game fundamental slate beginning at 6:00 p.m. ET.

Let’s dive into a few of the prime performs on the slate utilizing the FantasyLabs instruments and metrics.

Also, don’t neglect that for large-field tournaments, you’ll be able to make the most of our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create as much as 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder in the event you prefer to hand-build your lineups.

Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings could change all through the day after this text is posted. The NBA DFS panorama modifications rapidly.

Consult the NBA Player Models instantly for any updates as we get nearer to lock.

Use our PrizePicks promo code LABS for a $100 sign-up bonus on NBA participant props.

NBA DFS Point Guard Picks


Damian Lillard is coping with calf tightness, however with the Trail Blazers 1.5 video games out of the play-in match with solely 15 video games left on the schedule, he gained’t sit this one out. Lillard’s wage on DraftKings has dropped significantly, however he’s nonetheless the highest-priced possibility. Despite back-to-back mediocre performances, Lillard has an extremely excessive ceiling. He recorded a triple-double Monday, displaying his upside at a price ticket $1,000 greater than what he’s now.

The Pelicans rank eighth in defensive ranking this season, however Lillard had no hassle on this matchup of their final assembly, scoring 41 factors whereas taking pictures 12 of twenty-two from the sector. He uncharacteristically completed the sport with zero assists, however he has collected not less than six in his final 5 video games, averaging 9 per sport. The pay-up choices are restricted for this slate, however Lillard gives a way of safety as an incredible play in all lineup codecs.


With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander doubtless out on the second leg of a back-to-back, Isaiah Joe would be the worth guard of selection. Joe has the second-highest projected Plus/Minus on FanDuel for all gamers at his low cost $4,400 price ticket. He has a 93% Bargain Rating and is projected to be the highest-owned participant on the slate. DraftKings is a bit little bit of a special story, as he’s solely eligible at taking pictures guard, however he’s nonetheless among the best wage savers.

Luckily for the Thunder, who’ve gained 4 of their final 5 video games, they don’t want Gilgeous-Alexander to go well with up towards the pitiful Spurs protection. The Spurs rank final in defensive ranking (119.5) whereas permitting a league-high 122.3 factors per sport. Opponents are taking pictures a ridiculous 50.8% from the sector and 39.5% from behind the arc towards San Antonio. Prioritize Joe on FanDuel, however he is a good worth possibility on each websites who’s projected to begin and mess around 27 minutes.

Fast Break

Even although James Harden has been inconsistent scoring the ball, he’s averaging a league-high 10.8 assists per sport. Harden recorded his second 20-assist sport of the season and of his profession Monday, and he has recorded 9 rebounds in three consecutive video games. A triple-double is firmly on the desk for Harden on this matchup towards the Wizards, who rank nineteenth in defensive ranking. Joel Embiid is the 76ers prime possibility, however Harden can present fantasy factors in a wide range of methods and deserves consideration as among the best level guard performs on the slate.

NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks


The taking pictures guard place is among the worst on DraftKings, as there are such a lot of guards with level guard-only eligibility. Bradley Beal is the clear-cut most suitable choice, as he has scored over 45 DraftKings factors in 5 consecutive video games. Most of his manufacturing comes from scoring the ball, however he has additionally averaged 6.4 assists and 5.8 rebounds per sport over that span. He will have to be productive with the Wizards as eight-point street underdogs.

The veteran taking pictures guard is averaging a team-high 23.4 factors per sport whereas taking pictures over 50% from the sector for the primary time in his profession. Beal’s effectivity has paid dividends, and he’s additionally taking pictures 52.4% in three video games towards the 76ers this season. With the Wizards making an attempt to make the Eastern Conference playoffs, Beal has began to take over. He has averaged a 34.84% utilization price during the last 5 video games, which makes him an intriguing match play.


Spurs taking pictures guard Devin Vassell has the best projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings and the third-highest on FanDuel amongst all gamers. Since getting back from a two-month lengthy harm, Vassell has seen his enjoying time improve in every of his three video games performed whereas averaging 15 factors and a 24.3% utilization price per sport. Vassell is projected to play 31 minutes and be among the best worth performs on each DraftKings and FanDuel on Sunday.

Keldon Johnson is questionable after enjoying 36 minutes on Friday night time. Make certain to control his standing, as Vassell would get a big increase with out Johnson within the lineup. The Spurs could also be three-point residence underdogs, however this sport options the very best fantasy setting and the best complete on the slate at 237.5 factors. Vassell has a chance to seize a plethora of fantasy factors, and this spot could be even higher with out Johnson.

Fast Break

Josh Giddey is arguably in the very best spot of anybody on this slate with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out and this juicy matchup towards the Spurs. He has actual triple-double upside, as Giddey has the best projected Plus/Minus on FanDuel. Priced at $8,000 on each websites, Giddey goes to be highly regarded, however it’s deserving. Since the beginning of March, Giddey has 4 video games with 9 or extra assists and is second within the league behind Tyrese Haliburton with 20.6 potential assists per sport. There is unbelievable upside for Giddey so long as Gilgeous-Alexander isn’t enjoying.

NBA DFS Small Forward Picks


As dangerous because the taking pictures guard place is, small ahead could also be even worse if Brandon Ingram is unable to play, however Jalen Williams has rapidly change into among the best rookies on this class. Over the final 5 video games, Williams is averaging 44.3 DraftKings factors per sport, as his wage continues to rise. He has additionally shot nicely over 50% from the sector in eight-straight video games whereas recording not less than two steals in seven of these eight video games.

Playing towards the Spurs affords a lot upside, particularly on the defensive facet of the ball. The Spurs are permitting opponents to seize 8.5 steals per sport, which ranks because the second-highest within the league. Williams is a incredible play on DraftKings, and with the steal potential, he’s a robust play on FanDuel at a tough place. Williams additionally has the best projected Plus/Minus on the small ahead place for each websites.


Trey Murphy III is one among a number of Pelicans gamers who would profit if Brandon Ingram is dominated out once more. He has scored 15 or extra factors in 4 consecutive video games and stays comparatively low cost, priced within the mid-range on each websites. In his second 12 months within the league, Murphy is averaging profession highs in each statistic whereas enjoying 29.7 minutes per sport. However, he’s projected to play 35 minutes tonight, which is why he’s popping as an incredible worth.

The Pelicans are actually struggling coming down the house stretch. They have misplaced 18 of their final 24 video games and are at the moment on the skin wanting in on the play-in match within the Western Conference. As slight residence underdogs, the Pelicans are nonetheless implied for 114.75 factors towards the Trail Blazers, who’ve the fourth-worst defensive ranking. Expect Murphy to proceed his scoring streak, particularly if Ingram remains to be unable to play.

Fast Break

Kyle Kuzma is averaging a career-high 21.4 factors per sport in his second 12 months with the Wizards. His rebounding has elevated considerably with the Wizards in comparison with the Lakers. This matchup towards the 76ers is a greater rebounding spot than it could appear. They are tied for the seventh-worst rebounding share (49.3%), and Kuzma has recorded 7.7 rebounds per sport towards the 76ers in three conferences. The better part about getting Kuzma publicity is that he’s enjoying heavy minutes and making an attempt a career-high 18 subject objectives per sport this season.

You can take full benefit of Kuzma’s rebounding alternative by taking the over on his Underdog Fantasy line of 28.5 factors, rebounds, and assists.

NBA DFS Power Forward Picks


Despite taking pictures poorly the previous two video games, Julius Randle nonetheless has the best projected ceiling on the energy ahead place. One of the most important causes is that Jalen Brunson may very well be sitting out once more with a nagging foot harm. Randle has a team-high +9.2 DraftKings Plus/Minus and a 3.3% usage-rate improve with Brunson off the ground this season. If his shot begins to fall once more, Randle can simply repay this wage on each websites.

The Knicks have misplaced three consecutive video games after successful a season-high 9 straight. This is a back-to-back for the Knicks after dropping to the Clippers yesterday by 11 factors. Now they draw a surging Lakers group that’s enjoying very nicely just lately. Despite the Lakers current success, they’re nonetheless permitting 52.3 factors per sport within the paint. This is a good bounce-back spot for Randle, particularly if Brunson isn’t capable of play once more tonight.


Jaxson Hayes is one other Pelicans worth possibility who has seen his enjoying time improve quickly during the last two weeks. Zion Williamson and Larry Nance Jr. stay out, offering an avenue for Hayes, who has made probably the most of his current uptick in minutes. Hayes performed a season-high 32 minutes final night time and recorded a close to double-double with 11 factors and eight rebounds. He shot 5 of 8 from the sector and likewise recorded two blocks.

One of the principle causes Hayes has performed a lot just lately has been the downfall of beginning heart Jonas Valanciunas. He has performed a complete of 23 minutes in his final two video games, because the Pelicans have elected to go together with extra athleticism of their frontcourt. That bodes nicely for Hayes, particularly on this matchup towards the Blazers. They are permitting 52.8 factors per sport within the paint and have a 49.3% rebounding share, each of which rank twenty fourth within the league.

Fast Break

Kristaps Porzingis is one other high-upside Wizards possibility who can even profit from the 76ers’ poor rebounding. Averaging a career-high 23.2 factors per sport whereas taking pictures 49.5% from the sector, Porzingis can stretch the courtroom and make Joel Embiid a bit uncomfortable on the perimeter. He has averaged almost a double-double with 28.7 factors and 9.3 rebounds per sport on this matchup this season. Porzingis has put up over 50 DraftKings factors in three of his final 5 video games and leads the slate on FanDuel with 11 Pro Trends.

NBA DFS Center Picks


The participant with the best ceiling in our mannequin and the best price ticket on each DraftKings and FanDuel is 76ers heart Joel Embiid. Over the final 4 video games, Embiid is averaging 37.8 factors and 59.3 DraftKings factors per sport whereas taking pictures 60% from the sector. Embiid has made double-digit subject objectives in every of his final seven video games, and he continues to guide the league in scoring and free throws made with 10.2 per sport.

In his solely matchup towards the Wizards frontcourt this season, Embiid recorded an enormous double-double with 48 factors and 10 rebounds whereas taking pictures 17 of 32 from the sector. He had a loopy excessive 49.2% utilization price in that sport, and he has the third-highest utilization price per sport this season. No one has the ceiling that Embiid does on this four-game slate, making him the very best pay-up possibility on each websites with loads of worth to afford him.


Mitchell Robinson is among the higher worth performs on the board so long as he can keep out of foul hassle. That could also be robust going up towards Anthony Davis, however Robinson has recorded a optimistic Plus/Minus in seven of his final 9 video games on DraftKings. Over that span he has 5 double-doubles whereas averaging 8.8 factors and 10.8 rebounds per sport. He has the best projected Plus/Minus on each DraftKings and FanDuel.

The Lakers are permitting the fifth-most rebounds at 45.7 per sport. Outside of Davis, the Lakers don’t actually have an incredible rebounding group, particularly with LeBron James out. Robinson could not have the scoring upside, however he can simply attain double-digit rebounds on this matchup. Priced within the decrease mid-range, Robinson goes to be an incredible possibility on each websites, as he’s projected to play 31 minutes and has a 90% Bargain Rating on DraftKings.

Fast Break

Speaking of Anthony Davis, he’s simply the next-best heart possibility exterior of Joel Embiid. In 14 video games with LeBron James out, Davis has averaged an enormous double-double with 28.1 factors and 14.7 rebounds per sport. Over that span, Davis has additionally recorded a 32.9% utilization price and averaged 56.1 DraftKings factors per sport. The Knicks are one of many higher inside defensive groups within the league, however Davis is enjoying at a special degree just lately. Look for one more explosive sport from Davis because the Lakers attempt to climb the Western Conference standings.

Source link

Leave a Comment