NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Wednesday, Mar. 1): Buy Low on Ja Morant


Wednesday incorporates a nine-game slate beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Let’s dive into among the high performs on the slate utilizing the FantasyLabs instruments and metrics.

Also, don’t neglect that for large-field tournaments, you may make the most of our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create as much as 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder when you wish to hand-build your lineups.

Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings might change all through the day after this text is posted. The NBA DFS panorama adjustments shortly. 

Consult the NBA Player Models instantly for any updates as we get nearer to lock.

Use our PrizePicks promo code LABS for a $100 sign-up bonus on NBA participant props.

NBA DFS Point Guard Picks

Stud

Ja Morant stands out because the clear high choice if paying up within the backcourt. He was caught in slightly little bit of a hunch lately, however he broke out in a giant approach Tuesday vs. the Lakers. He racked up 73.5 DraftKings factors in simply 33.7 minutes due to 39 factors, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists.

I wouldn’t anticipate one other triple-double, however he does draw an exceptional matchup vs. the Rockets. They rank twenty ninth in defensive effectivity, and the Grizzlies’ implied workforce complete of 120.25 ranks first on the slate. There is a little bit of blowout potential, however the truth that this recreation is being performed in Houston ought to assist barely.

Additionally, Ja is down to only $9,900 on DraftKings, which is just too low cost for a participant of his caliber. He’s averaged 1.54 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he’s solely been priced under $10,000 on six earlier events this season. Add all of it up, and that is the right time to focus on the explosive level guard.


Value

Dennis Schroder is coming off a double-double on Tuesday, and he ought to proceed to see an elevated function as a facilitator with the Lakers’ present damage scenario. LeBron James is predicted to overlook the subsequent 2-3 weeks with an damage, whereas D’Angelo Russell is uncertain vs. the Thunder.

With LeBron, Russell, and Russell Westbrook off the ground this season, Schroder has elevated his utilization charge by +7.7% and his help charge by +9.0%. Both are among the many largest will increase on the workforce, and it has unsurprisingly had a big effect on his fantasy manufacturing. He’s averaged simply 0.77 DraftKings factors per minute for the yr, however that determine will increase to 0.92 with all three gamers off the ground.


Fast Break

Dennis Smith Jr. stands out on DraftKings, the place his $5,100 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 94%. DSJ has traditionally been a robust contributor on a per-minute foundation, and he’s averaged 0.87 DraftKings factors per minute this season. He’s at the moment projected for 33 minutes in our NBA Models, and DSJ has traditionally averaged a Plus/Minus of +3.33 with a comparable wage and minute projection (per the Trends device).

Damian Lillard enters the stud dialog on FanDuel, the place his $11,000 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 98%. That might really feel like quite a bit for Lillard, however he has been value each penny lately. He didn’t return worth Tuesday vs. the Warriors, however he’s nonetheless posted a median Plus/Minus of +9.01 over his previous 10 video games on FanDuel.

NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks

Stud

The Hornets had been dealt an enormous blow of their final recreation, with LaMelo Ball struggling a fractured proper ankle. He’s going to overlook the rest of the season, however that might truly be a blessing in disguise. The Hornets aren’t taking part in for something this season, and the truth that they’ve received 5 straight video games was truly hurting their lottery possibilities. As lengthy as Ball is nice to go for the beginning of subsequent yr, his absence may work of their favor.

Terry Rozier goes to have to select up the slack within the interim. He’s elevated his utilization charge by +2.4% and his help charge by +2.7% in video games with out Ball this season, and he’s averaged 37.5 minutes in these contests. The result’s a median of 38.92 DraftKings factors per recreation, which might be greater than sufficient at his present price ticket. P.J. Washington can also be uncertain vs. the Suns, so Rozier may very well be much more busy than standard.


Value

Malik Beasley is somebody who has confirmed to be a succesful scorer when given the chance, and he ought to have loads of alternatives on Wednesday. He’s racked up at the least 31.6 minutes in back-to-back video games, and he ought to see a comparable workload vs. the Thunder. He’s averaged 0.88 DraftKings factors per minute this season, so he’s just too low cost at $4,500.


Fast Break

We’re nonetheless ready for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s official standing, however it might be fairly shocking if he’s within the lineup. As lengthy as he stays out, Isaiah Joe could be deployed as a price choice. He’s at the moment projected for 27 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s averaged 0.98 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month. Joe additionally stays underpriced on DraftKings, the place his $4,500 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 90%.

Sticking with the Thunder, Jalen Williams has actually impressed lately. While different first-year gamers have hit the dreaded “rookie wall,” Williams has solely gotten higher. He’s elevated his manufacturing to 1.06 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month, and he’s posted a median Plus/Minus of +8.79 over his previous 10 video games. He’s the popular choice for the Thunder on FanDuel, the place his $6,100 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 83%.

NBA DFS Small Forward Picks

Stud

While Rozier is a robust goal, Gordon Hayward might be my favourite choice for the Hornets on Wednesday. He has been a dependable contributor lately, posting a optimistic Plus/Minus in seven of his previous eight video games. He’s additionally displayed an elite ceiling over that stretch, posting video games with 49.75 and 58.25 DraftKings factors.

Like Rozier, Hayward has additionally taken on a a lot bigger function in video games with out Ball this season. He’s elevated his utilization charge by +2.7% and his help charge by +3.4%. Both marks are among the many largest will increase on the squad. Hayward has already elevated his manufacturing to 0.94 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he may take one other step ahead vs. the Suns.


Value

Lu Dort is one other glorious choice for the Thunder on Wednesday. He’s coming off simply 18.25 DraftKings factors in his final contest, however he was restricted to only 21.3 minutes. He nonetheless posted a 29.3% utilization charge in that outing, and he performed at the least 31.4 minutes in his earlier three video games.

He ought to return to his standard workload vs. the Lakers, and Dort has been one of many largest beneficiaries with SGA off the ground this season. He’s seen a team-high +5.7% utilization bump, leading to a median of 1.00 DraftKings factors per minute.


Fast Break

Lonnie Walker performed 22.5 minutes off the bench on Tuesday, and he was extraordinarily lively on the offensive finish. He posted a 33.0% utilization charge, leading to 21 factors and 30.5 DraftKings factors. Walker has elevated his manufacturing to 0.87 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, so he doesn’t want a ton of taking part in time to repay his $3,300 wage.

Matisse Thybulle spent many of the yr buried on the bench in Philadelphia, however he has gotten a brand new lease on life with the Blazers. He’s posted a optimistic Plus/Minus in his previous 5 video games, and he even knocked down 5 3-pointers Tuesday vs. the Warriors. I wouldn’t anticipate a repeat efficiency, however Thybulle will all the time have some attraction on FanDuel given the premium scoring for defensive statistics.

NBA DFS Power Forward Picks

Stud

The Bucks are a workforce that you simply’re going to have to watch on Wednesday. They’re taking part in on the second leg of a back-to-back, so there’s a really actual probability that Giannis Antetokounmpo will get the evening off. He has missed time lately with accidents, so the workforce might not wish to push him in a recreation that they may be capable of win with out him.

However, if Antetokounmpo is lively, he’s a main goal on a slate with loads of worth. When Giannis is on the ground, only a few gamers in basketball can match his per-minute upside. He’s been principally unstoppable of late, averaging 1.94 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he was very spectacular in his return to the lineup on Tuesday. He wanted simply 28.5 minutes to rack up 33 factors, 15 boards, 4 assists, and 59.25 DraftKings factors.

If Giannis doesn’t play, Bobby Portis turns into the Bucks’ ahead to focus on. He’s additionally been extraordinarily spectacular lately, averaging 1.41 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he’d be thrust right into a starring function with Antetokounmpo sidelined.


Value

The Pistons stay extraordinarily skinny within the frontcourt headed into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Bulls. Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart will each miss their second straight recreation, whereas Isaiah Livers is uncertain after choosing up a spot begin on Monday.

Wiseman didn’t play fairly as a lot as anticipated on Monday, however he was extraordinarily environment friendly in his 26.6 minutes. He racked up 23 factors and 7 rebounds, leading to 32.25 DraftKings factors. For all of his woes, Wiseman has all the time been in a position to put the ball within the basket. He’s averaged 1.02 DraftKings factors per minute this season, so he’s a fantastic wager to return worth as soon as once more. His price ticket has come up a bit following Monday’s efficiency, however he nonetheless stands out as the most effective values on the slate.


Fast Break

Jaren Jackson Jr. continues to be vulnerable to the occasional recreation the place he can’t keep on the ground, however he has been far more constant this season. That has allowed him to common a career-best 37.54 FanDuel factors in simply 27.3 minutes per recreation. Jackson has performed at the least 31.1 minutes in three of his previous 4 contests, and he’s unsurprisingly posted a optimistic Plus/Minus in every. He has loads of upside vs. the Rockets and isn’t anticipated to hold a lot possession.

Jarred Vanderbilt is yet one more risk for the Lakers. He’s an excellent per-minute producer, averaging 1.09 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he ought to see just a few further minutes with LeBron out of the lineup. He completed with simply 18.0 DraftKings factors throughout 28.7 minutes on Tuesday, however he racked up 47.25 DraftKings factors in much less taking part in time on Sunday. That’s the kind of ceiling he supplies at his present price ticket.

NBA DFS Center Picks

Stud

When LeBron is out of the lineup, play Anthony Davis. It could also be a easy formulation, however it positive is efficient. Davis reminded everybody of his expertise stage on Tuesday, racking up 28 factors and 19 boards en path to 60.75 DraftKings factors. That’s not an outlier, both. Davis has now performed in 10 video games with out LeBron this season, and he’s averaged 55.98 DraftKings factors in these contests.

Add a juicy matchup vs. the Thunder and the possible absence of Russell, and Davis stands out as an elite stud goal. He most likely deserves to be priced at over $11,000, given the Lakers’ damage scenario, so reap the benefits of this price ticket whilst you can.

Editor’s Note — Davis has been dominated out vs. the Thunder. All of the opposite Lakers’ gamers listed on this write-up see a major enhance in worth.


Value

The Pelicans are one other workforce with a number of damage considerations in the meanwhile. Zion Williamson stays out of the lineup, and he’ll be joined on the sidelines by Jose Alvarado and Larry Nance Jr. on Wednesday. Jonas Valanciunas and Josh Richardson are additionally questionable, so there’s an opportunity that the workforce is considerably shorthanded vs. the Blazers.

Regardless of what occurs with Valanciunas, Jaxson Hayes ought to see a stable handful of minutes. He performed 24.8 minutes within the workforce’s final contest, and Hayes has averaged a good 0.98 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month. He ought to function the backup to Valanciunas as a naked minimal, and he may earn some taking part in time at energy ahead with Nance sidelined as properly.

If Valanciunas is dominated out, there’s a great probability that Hayes strikes into the beginning lineup. If Willy Hernangomez will get the nod as a substitute, then Hernangomez would develop into the superior DFS play. Regardless, it is a scenario that warrants monitoring.


Fast Break

The Grizzlies stay with out beginning middle Steven Adams, and Xavier Tillman has began many of the video games in his absence. He’s been productive as properly, recording at the least 28.4 FanDuel factors in three straight video games. As lengthy as he stays within the beginning lineup, he’s a stable choice throughout the trade.

Evan Mobley stays underpriced on FanDuel, the place his $7,500 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 86%. The proficient younger huge man had a gradual begin to his season, however he has turned issues round lately. He’s elevated his manufacturing to 1.15 FanDuel factors per minute over the previous month, and he’s posted a median Plus/Minus of +4.29 over his previous 10 video games.



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